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Author:  corrections [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 12:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Comfort_Eagle wrote:
corrections wrote:
Comfort_Eagle wrote:
pgm wrote:
Gronk more important than Brady


sounds like something Gronk might say if he was drunk


Yeah Gronk pretty much has the biggest gap between him and the second best player at his position in the league, is a true tactical terror from a matchup perspective, and is in contention for the greatest value over an average player at his position. That's all true. But they could have Gronk without Brady pulling the trigger and I'd put their Super Bowl odds at less than 5%. With Brady and no Gronk I'd give them about 10%.


With or without factoring in the decimated WR corps?

As a side note, they're now the #3 seed in the AFC, which, other than perhaps right after the KC game last year, I don't remember seeing them below the 1 or 2 spot for quite a few years during the regular season.


They'd need the receivers to come back. Without the receivers and with that fairly blah o-line I'd give them less than 5% (but without Brady in that circumstance it's effectively 0%).

Author:  Eric J [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

corrections wrote:
Yeah Gronk pretty much has the biggest gap between him and the second best player at his position in the league,

And possibly in history if he keeps this up.

Author:  corrections [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Eric J wrote:
corrections wrote:
Yeah Gronk pretty much has the biggest gap between him and the second best player at his position in the league,

And possibly in history if he keeps this up.


Possibly to probably yes. Part of that is there are more well rounded elites at other positions. For example JJ Watt is really fucking great but he's not touching Reggie White for best defensive lineman of all time. Gronk is basically the best blocking tight end in the league and if not number one he's top five and he's also the best receiving tight end and it isn't particularly close. Most of the other great tight ends are kind of one or the other and even the exceptions like Jason Witten aren't quite as good at either as Gronk even in their prime. Health is really his only weakness and really that just seems like God saying "well can't have a perfect football player, better give him an achilles heal)

Author:  jumpman8828 [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 8:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Sunday Dec 20 in East Rutherford, NJ

Author:  corrections [ Sat Dec 12, 2015 3:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Comfort_Eagle wrote:
corrections wrote:
They'd need the receivers to come back. Without the receivers and with that fairly blah o-line I'd give them less than 5% (but without Brady in that circumstance it's effectively 0%).


Our O-line is junk, man. Kline, Fleming and Cannon are terrible, Stork is solid at center, and Mason has been a nice surprise. But having Solder gone has really, really hurt.

As another aside, what are the chances of the Panthers going 16-0 or beyond? The rest of their schedule is cake, but at what point will they get exposed?


I can fairly confidently state they won't go undefeated for the year but it's possible they don't lose until the playoffs.

Author:  Eric J [ Mon Dec 14, 2015 10:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Well I guess the Bears just were just taking a short hiatus from being a bad team instead of actually becoming kind of decent. Things actually do look pretty solid for next year and beyond though, especially if they can get a good 2nd-3rd round QB this offseason and then just stockpile a bunch of scary dudes on defense. The best thing is it does not appear to be a 3-4 year process like everyone was saying. It feels like instead in the next 3-4 years we'll be hovering around a wild card spot* with the potential for one really good run if things fall into place.

* Partially because our division is boss.

Author:  Eric J [ Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

corrections wrote:
Eric J wrote:
corrections wrote:
Yeah Gronk pretty much has the biggest gap between him and the second best player at his position in the league,

And possibly in history if he keeps this up.


Possibly to probably yes. Part of that is there are more well rounded elites at other positions. For example JJ Watt is really fucking great but he's not touching Reggie White for best defensive lineman of all time. Gronk is basically the best blocking tight end in the league and if not number one he's top five and he's also the best receiving tight end and it isn't particularly close. Most of the other great tight ends are kind of one or the other and even the exceptions like Jason Witten aren't quite as good at either as Gronk even in their prime. Health is really his only weakness and really that just seems like God saying "well can't have a perfect football player, better give him an achilles heal)

I still think you have to give Gonzalez's catch total a fair amount of credit, especially given the quarterbacks he played with. It's probably not that much lower than what Rice would have gotten with similar QBs. I don't remember his prime well enough to know about him as a blocker though.

Author:  corrections [ Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Eric J wrote:
corrections wrote:
Eric J wrote:
corrections wrote:
Yeah Gronk pretty much has the biggest gap between him and the second best player at his position in the league,

And possibly in history if he keeps this up.


Possibly to probably yes. Part of that is there are more well rounded elites at other positions. For example JJ Watt is really fucking great but he's not touching Reggie White for best defensive lineman of all time. Gronk is basically the best blocking tight end in the league and if not number one he's top five and he's also the best receiving tight end and it isn't particularly close. Most of the other great tight ends are kind of one or the other and even the exceptions like Jason Witten aren't quite as good at either as Gronk even in their prime. Health is really his only weakness and really that just seems like God saying "well can't have a perfect football player, better give him an achilles heal)

I still think you have to give Gonzalez's catch total a fair amount of credit, especially given the quarterbacks he played with. It's probably not that much lower than what Rice would have gotten with similar QBs. I don't remember his prime well enough to know about him as a blocker though.


He was a bad blocker when he started and a mediocre to decent one at his peak and then a bad blocker at the end.

Author:  kosherrock [ Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Just talking some stuff in a poll, and I'll post it here:

The nfl just adopted the cfb way of doing things - top 4 get play-off's - right now, who's in, who's out and who's on the bubble?

Author:  corrections [ Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

kosherrock wrote:
Just talking some stuff in a poll, and I'll post it here:

The nfl just adopted the cfb way of doing things - top 4 get play-off's - right now, who's in, who's out and who's on the bubble?


Carolina (obviously in). Arizona has two losses but one close to a division opponent and early and one on the road at Pittsburgh but has the good quality wins. Pats similarly though they had the mini-losing streak (which would play poorly in college particularly the loss to Philly) are both the reigning champion, one of only 3 teams at 2 or better losses they get in.

After that it's tricky. Broncos would have likely knocked themselves out with the Oakland loss. Cincy with a tough division loss would be hard to deny but I could see either Pittsburgh (QB issues) or Seattle (great winning streak and looks dominant) getting some chances. Green Bays late swoon would likely relegate them to lower bubble status (especially given the division doesn't look that great). Jets would also be a distant bubble team (but with a chance to get a statement win). Both NFC East and AFC South would be relegated to the garbage pile.

Author:  Eric J [ Thu Dec 17, 2015 2:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Would losing a starting QB be something the college selection committee would look at in a negative way?

Author:  kosherrock [ Thu Dec 17, 2015 2:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Yeah, Cincy would be out because of dalton going down. Broncos would still be up for consideration because of the defense.

I really like corrections' rankings...ill state my case after work

Author:  Eric J [ Thu Dec 17, 2015 6:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

kosherrock wrote:
Yeah, Cincy would be out because of dalton going down. Broncos would still be up for consideration because of the defense.

I really like corrections' rankings...ill state my case after work

And because Osweiler's outperformed Manning this year. I like Crx's top 3 and then I'd put the Broncos if Dalton going down counts. Agreed on Pittsburgh but could Seattle be considered after having a losing record through 10 weeks? And GB hasn't really done anything impressive since week 3.

Author:  corrections [ Thu Dec 17, 2015 8:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

Eric J wrote:
kosherrock wrote:
Yeah, Cincy would be out because of dalton going down. Broncos would still be up for consideration because of the defense.

I really like corrections' rankings...ill state my case after work

And because Osweiler's outperformed Manning this year. I like Crx's top 3 and then I'd put the Broncos if Dalton going down counts. Agreed on Pittsburgh but could Seattle be considered after having a losing record through 10 weeks? And GB hasn't really done anything impressive since week 3.


Nah Denver would have been totally nixed for that Oakland loss. That's a really bad loss in the college system. They could work there way back over the last 3 of course but seriously that would be a killer

Author:  pgm [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 11:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL.

This guy's prediction isn't looking great.

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